Predicting Tropical Cyclone Genesis
نویسندگان
چکیده
The long-term goal of this project is to provide probabilistic genesis forecast guidance to operational forecasters and develop a genesis index to provide guidance for operational dynamical model prediction of tropical cyclone (TC) genesis. Once regions of high TC genesis probability are identified, a movable, multi-nested version of the COAMPS with resolution of roughly 3 km or less in the inner most grid will be utilized for predicting the genesis event.
منابع مشابه
Dynamics and Predictability of Tropical Cyclone Genesis, Structure and Intensity Change
A long-term goal of this research is to improve dynamical prediction of tropical cyclones using ensemble methods for making analyses and forecasts. A second goal is to use the information contained in ensemble analyses and forecasts to improve basic understanding of tropical cyclone dynamics. Finally, a third goal is to use ensemble-based sensitivity analysis to target observations for tropical...
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